Posted by bonegrego on August 25, 2021
People frequently ask me, “What do you consider the “actual” number 메이저토토사이트 추천 in a certain game?” Is it the first line? What’s the last line? My response to them is…neither.
I spent 8 years working at an offshore sportsbook, and that opening may occasionally be a ‘fake’ opener. That is to say, the sportsbook will issue a number, the clever players will pound it, and when the dust settles, that will be your REAL number. When it comes to football, this is the number that the game is broadcast on for the most of the week (barring an injury or suspension etc.).
In basketball, it’s the number on which the game is broadcast after the dust has settled in the middle of the day/early evening.
I also tend to ignore the rush of activity that occurs in the last hour. This is largely driven by the general people, and believe me when I say that putting much stock in what they think is a waste of time. We used to enjoy having a game that the general public got excited about because they were almost always wrong.
Because my entire system is dependent on these spreads, I have to pay close attention.
That’s why having this information in your back pocket is so important. It’s important 메이저토토사이트 가입 to remember that you shouldn’t wager on a game when it first comes out. The wise guys and sharp bettors are salivating at the prospect of that line opening, and when they do, they bet large, perhaps moving the spread by a couple of points. What if you placed a -3 bet on a game when the true spread was -1.5?
The same may be said about last-minute activities or Amateur Hour as we used to call it. Everyone and their brother is trying to get down right now, so you might as well forget it if you waited this long. At this stage, the line resembles a pogo stick. 메이저토토사이트 바로가기 토토사이트
If you want to be successful at sports betting, make sure you write down your bets at the ‘real’ figure.
Evaluating Las Vegas 메이저토토사이트 목록 Line Movement in Sports Betting
When most sports bettors try to handicap a game, they look at prior results that have been favorable. Why wouldn’t you, right? Do you believe sports bettors want to back a club that is 2-12 in a must-win game against a squad that is 10-4 in the playoffs? Obviously, we don’t! It’s incomprehensible! Does it, or does it not?
Past performance is unquestionably the sole way to assess a team’s worth. When we expect that a team will play well, that team is really playing well at the time. Let’s take a look at Week 10 of the 2009 NFL season. With a 6-2 record entering the week, the Pittsburgh Steelers were in good shape. They were also undefeated at home, with a 4-0 record.
They were up against the Cincinnati Bengals, who were unexpectedly good. The Bengals had been in over their heads for a long time. The Steelers were coming off a six-game winning streak, which included a win on the road against an excellent Denver Broncos squad the week before. Most gamblers would rush to the betting window after reading this and place a large wager on the Steelers!
Not only did the Steelers go 4-0 at home that season, but they also had an 8-year 90 percent victory rate at home. To say the least, the statistics were intimidating. The Steelers were favored by 74 percent to 26 percent in Las Vegas. The Vegas line, on the other hand, has 메이저토토사이트 리스트 only changed half a point in six days! For some reason, Las Vegas defied the betting public, these lopsided numbers, and thousands of indicators pointing in Pittsburgh’s direction. So, what exactly happened? The Cincinnati Bengals defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 18-12. The Bengals received 6.5 points that they did not require. They followed Vegas’ advice and covered the spread.
When it comes to sports betting, you should know how to bet anti-post and when to use it to your advantage.
On the large anti post races, some of the top bookmakers will provide non-runner, no bet, where your money is returned if the horse you chose does not finish up competing, although this typically does not come into effect until a week or two before the race.
Anti-post football betting is mostly concerned with predicting the winners of major football leagues, tournaments, and cup competitions at the start of the season or before the action begins. Anti-post horse racing betting is mostly focused on important races at key meetings such as Royal Ascot, the Cheltenham Festival, the Aintree Grand National Meeting, and major weekend races.
If you bet anti post, you face the risk of losing all of your stake money if the 안전한 메이저토토사이트 horse does not run in the race. It’s a good idea to establish as many accounts as possible with different bookies so that you can compare pricing. The difference in odds might be significant.
Football, snooker, tennis, rugby cricket, and National Hunt racing are the sports on which I primarily bet against the spread. When it comes to Flat anti post horse racing, you can support a horse anti post in a sprint event like the Lincoln handicap and receive a terrible draw, resulting in a loss of stake and money. When betting on anti-post horse races, check the racing newspaper every day to see whether the horse you like is definitely intended for the race by the trainer. Many articles include trainers discussing their horses’ goals for the year.